O impacto do Mercosul sobre o emprego setorial no Brasil

Abstract

This paper studies how the tariff reduction resulting from the Mercosul agreement should affect the composition of sectoral employment in Brazil. A computable general equilibrium model is simulated, with two different specifications with respect to the labor market. In the first specification, it is assumed that labor is perfectly mobile in all sectors; in the second one, labor is assumed to be mobile across some sectors, and not mobile in others. The first specification indicates that the tariff reduction from the Mercosul agreement should have a stronger effect on the following sectors: chemicals, mineral extraction, and other tradables. The introduction of labor market segmentation does not substantially alter the results, although it indicates small changes in unemployment rate in Brazil.