A restrição externa ao crescimento econômico brasileiro: uma perspectiva de longo prazo

Abstract

This article helps defining the limits to Brazilian economic growth under alternative scenarios for the international economy and the domestic savings capacity. Alternative growth trajectories for the Brazilian economy until rear 2600 are simulated with a macroeconomic consistence model that represents analytically lire two gaps: the foreign exchange gap and the, savings gap. The analysis focuses on the effect of alternative policies for taxation, social expenditures, income distribution and growth of the world economy .